Investing is not as difficult as it looks

The intelligent investor, using common sense and without extraordinary financial acumen, can outperform the pros. In a world where financial markets are highly efficient, there is absolutely no reason that careful and disciplined novices — those who know the rudiments but lack the experience — cannot hold their own or even surpass the long-run returns earned by professional investors as a group. Successful investing involves doing just a few things right and avoiding serious mistakes.

"Once you start to try and trade the market, I don't care how good you are, how smart you are, you will not beat an index fund."

former Chairman of the Federal Reserve

Simplicity

There are an infinite number of strategies worse than this one: commit, over a few years, your money to a stock index fund. Ignore interim price fluctuations. Hold your positions for as long as you live, subject only to infrequent and marginal adjustments as your circumstances change.

It is not necessary to own many funds to achieve effective diversification. A single all-world stock index fund contains thousands of stocks, including all styles and cap-sizes.

"Simplicity is the master key to financial success. When there are multiple solutions to a problem, choose the simplest one."

Founder of Vanguard

Time marches on

Time dramatically enhances capital accumulation as the magic of compounding accelerates. At an annual return of +10%, the total value of the initial €10 000 investment is €108 000, at the end of 25 years, nearly a tenfold increase in value. Give yourself the benefit of all the time you can possibly afford.

"Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it; he who doesn't, pays it."

Nobel Prize laureate

Nothing ventured, nothing gained

It pays to take reasonable risks in the search for higher long-term rates of return. The magic of compounding accelerates sharply with even modest increases in the annual rate of return. While an investment of €10 000 earning an annual return of +10% grows to a value of €108 000 over 25 years, at +12% the final value is €170 000. The difference of €62 000 is more than six times the initial investment itself.

"The question is, when is active management good? The answer is never."

Nobel Laureate

Diversify, diversify, diversify

Rather than trying to pick specific stocks or sectors of the market that may outperform in the future, we buy widely diversified all-world stock index funds that approximate the whole market. This guarantees we will receive the average return of all investors.

Being average sounds bad, but it is actually a great thing. That's because most investors perform worse than average after taking into account the high fees they pay for actively managed funds. Studies of fund managers indicate that there is no evidence of persistent outperformance. Funds that outperform one year tend to underperform in the next. That means more than 94% of actively managed funds underperform index funds over the long run.

Never forget risk-return-cost

Never forget that risk, return, and cost are the three sides of the eternal triangle of investing. Remember also that the cost penalty may sharply erode the risk premium to which an investor is entitled. You should understand unequivocally that investing in a fund with a relatively high expense ratio — more than 1% — bears careful examination. Unless you are confident that the higher costs you incur are justified by higher expected returns, select your investments from among the lower-cost no-load funds.

Remember reversion to the mean

Don’t ever buy an investment based on what it has done in the past. Every investment you are looking to buy comes with a prospectus that tells you more about the fund. And in each one, usually on one of the first pages, it states that past fund performance is no guarantee of future returns. No matter what you are investing in, eventually, the hot stock will one day not be the hot stock any longer.

Another way to look at this is the law of gravity. What goes up, must come down. Investments are the same. High-fliers will always come back down to earth. So don’t invest your money into stocks that you think will never come down because eventually, they will.

"Buying funds based purely on their past performance is one of the stupidest things an investor can do."

Founder of Vanguard

You rarely, if ever, know something the market does not

If you are worried about the coming bear market, excited about the coming bull market, fearful about the prospect of war, or concerned about the economy, the election, or indeed the state of mankind, in all probability your opinions are already reflected in the market. The financial markets reflect the knowledge, the hopes, the fears, even the greed, of all investors everywhere. It is nearly always unwise to act on insights that you think are your own but are in fact shared by millions of others.

"Does this portfolio seem overly simplistic, even amateurish? Get over it. Over the next few decades, the overwhelming majority of all professional investors will not be able to beat it."

Think long-term

Do not let transitory changes in stock prices alter your investment program. There is a lot of noise in the daily volatility of the stock market, which too often is "a tale told by an idiot, full of sound and fury, signifying nothing." Stocks may remain overvalued, or undervalued, for years. Patience and consistency are valuable assets for the intelligent investor. The best rule: Stay the Course.

"42% of millionaires of this country make less than one transaction per year in their investments."

author of The Coffeehouse Investor

Invest early and often

Once you establish a regular savings pattern, you can begin the process of accumulating financial wealth. How much saving is enough? 20% of income is a good baseline number. If you plan to retire before age 65 or plan to leave significant assets to charity or children, you probably need to save even more. The reason starting a regular savings plan early in life is important is that the compounding of investment returns can be magnified over a longer period.

The best way to save money is to arrange automatic deductions from your paycheck. This concept, described as "paying yourself first," goes a long way towards establishing and reinforcing reasonable spending habits.

Always use index funds

The best and lowest cost way to buy the whole stock market is with index funds (through ETFs). By purchasing a single all-world stock index fund, an investor owns a piece of essentially every public company in the world. This diversification lowers risk because the failure of any one company does not have a big effect. The investor is still exposed to the high volatility of the overall stock market, but in exchange, the investor gets to participate in whatever returns the market is generous enough to give over time.

Minimize costs

Markets are unpredictable. Costs are forever. The lower your costs, the greater your share of an investment's return. And research suggests that lower-cost investments have tended to outperform higher-cost alternatives.

The difference between an expense ratio of 0.5% and 1.5% might not seem like much, but the effect of the compounding over an investing lifetime is enormous. After 30 years, a fund with a 1.5% expense ratio will provide an investor with several hundred thousand dollars less for retirement than a 0.5% index fund with the same growth. And remember that most actively managed funds actually underperform passive index funds. Costs matter and investors need returns compounding for their own benefit, not the benefit of fund companies who skim unnecessary fees off the top.

Why invest in index funds?

Our philosophy is suitable for you if these things align with your values.
Beat inflation
With inflation at a 40-year-high, sticking money under the mattress is not the way to go. Longrun helps you to outsmart inflation.
Put your money on autopilot
Automatic recurring payments, rebalancing, and dividend reinvestment make sure your money is working hard, even when you’re not looking.
Diversify your investments
Invest your money in thousands of companies across the world — it's a reliable way to minimize risk and maximize reward.
Top-notch security
Use bank-vault level encryption to keep your data and money safe.
Socially responsible investing
Index funds are socially responsible by definition, since over the long run, underperforming unsustainable companies will drop out of the index.
Talk to a human anytime
Our world-class customer support people are here to answer any questions about your money, no matter how big or how small.
Save on taxes
Get immediate tax savings and boost your portfolio returns while you invest for the long run.
Transparent pricing
Our index fund charges a flat 0.22% annual fee, no entry fees, exit fees. Fully transparent, no hidden fees.
Don't just take our word for it
Trusted by millions of customers to manage over €7 trillion of their hard-earned money. 2000+ reviews on Trustpilot.

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